Feynman's ARW357 license-plate joke is a small lesson about how easily we mistake a baseline probability for a personal miracle.
The famous physicist Richard Feynman once said: “You know, the most amazing thing happened to me tonight ... I saw a car with the license plate ARW357. Can you imagine? Of all the millions of license plates in the state, what was the chance that I would see that particular one tonight? Amazing!”
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